Skills · 20 June 2026 · 2 min read

How to Surface Renewal Risk Early Enough to Fix It.

You are managing an account where renewal is 6 to 12 months away and you want to know now whether it is at risk, not find out when the customer goes quiet
Will Koning
Will Koning
Founder, meritt
meritt illustration: renewals & commercial

You are managing an account where renewal is 6 to 12 months away and you want to know now whether it is at risk, not find out when the customer goes quiet

Renewal risk rarely appears suddenly. Low adoption, a missing champion, unresolved support friction, or a budget squeeze all leave signals weeks or months before a customer decides not to renew. The AM who reads those signals early has time to act. The AM who waits for the formal renewal window is managing a fire drill, not a relationship. Asking the hard question early - 'is this on track to be worth renewing?' - feels uncomfortable but it is the move that keeps deals alive.

Where it goes wrong

When risk surfaces late, your options shrink fast. You cannot fix six months of low adoption in three weeks. You cannot rebuild an executive relationship you never started. And you cannot win a procurement negotiation when the customer has already mentally moved on.

What you'll be able to do

After this lesson you can read account health signals, score renewal risk honestly, and have a direct early conversation with the customer that surfaces blockers while there is still time to address them.

How to do it

Check five health signals monthly for every renewable account

Check five health signals monthly for every renewable account: adoption trend (up, flat, or dropping), executive engagement (when did you last speak to someone above the champion), support volume and tone, payment behavior, and whether your champion is still in role. A drop in any two is worth a direct conversation.

Ask the renewal question early and plainly

Ask the renewal question early and plainly. Six to nine months out, say to your champion: 'I want to make sure we are on track for a straightforward renewal. If we had to make the case today, what would be the strongest argument for it - and what would be the concern?' You will learn more in two minutes than from three months of usage data.

If adoption is below the target you agreed at

If adoption is below the target you agreed at kickoff, name the gap directly rather than waiting for it to come up at renewal. 'We agreed on 30% reduction in manual time. We are at 18%. I want to fix that now, not at contract time. What is blocking the last mile?'

Map your stakeholders and identify gaps

Map your stakeholders and identify gaps. If you only know the day-to-day champion, find a reason to connect with the economic buyer before the renewal window opens. A brief value update email or a five-minute add-on to a review is enough to establish the relationship.

Log risks in your CRM with a date and

Log risks in your CRM with a date and a next action. Risk that lives only in your head does not get managed.

See the difference

Weak

The AM notices adoption has been flat for two quarters but assumes the customer is busy. At month ten of a twelve-month contract, the champion emails to say they are 'evaluating options'. The AM scrambles to pull together a value case and requests an urgent executive meeting. The customer renews at a reduced scope after a two-month delay.

Strong

At month six, the AM sees adoption flat and no executive contact in 90 days. They call the champion: 'Usage has been steady but we set a target of 30% time savings and we are at 18%. I want to address that before renewal becomes a conversation. What is getting in the way - is it workflow, adoption, or something else?' The champion flags a team restructure that changed the rollout plan. The AM adjusts the success plan, runs a targeted enablement session, and books a brief update with the new business owner. By month ten the metric is at 26% and renewal is straightforward.

After this lesson you can read account health signals, score renewal risk honestly, and have a direct early conversation with the customer that surfaces blocker

How you'll know it's working

You have got it when you can name the top risk in each of your renewable accounts right now - and have a logged next action against each one.

Questions people ask

How do you surface renewal risk early enough to fix it?

Renewal risk rarely appears suddenly. Low adoption, a missing champion, unresolved support friction, or a budget squeeze all leave signals weeks or months before a customer decides not to renew. After this lesson you can read account health signals, score renewal risk honestly, and have a direct early conversation with the customer that surfaces blockers while there is sti

What is the most common mistake to avoid?

When risk surfaces late, your options shrink fast. You cannot fix six months of low adoption in three weeks.

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