Skills · 20 June 2026 · 2 min read

How to Use MEDDIC Scores to Set your Forecast Category Honestly.

You are updating your forecast and deciding whether a deal belongs in commit, best case, or upside - and you want to base that call on evidence, not optimism.
Will Koning
Will Koning
Founder, meritt
meritt illustration: qualification methodology meddpicc

You are updating your forecast and deciding whether a deal belongs in commit, best case, or upside - and you want to base that call on evidence, not optimism.

Forecast categories are only useful if they mean something consistent. When reps self-report based on gut feel or buyer enthusiasm, the forecast becomes noise. A MEDDIC score gives you a shared, evidence-based language for how qualified a deal actually is - so the category reflects reality, not hope. Managers can then make resourcing and revenue decisions on solid ground.

Where it goes wrong

Deals sit in commit with a zero on Champion or no Economic Buyer conversation. The quarter ends short. Post-mortem reveals the signals were always there - they just were not scored honestly.

What you'll be able to do

You can map your MEDDIC score to a forecast category with a clear rule, defend that call in a deal review, and know exactly which gaps to close before moving a deal up.

How to do it

Score each MEDDIC letter 1-5 from buyer evidence only

Score each MEDDIC letter 1-5 from buyer evidence only - emails, call notes, recorded meetings. Gut feel scores as a 1, not a 3.

Apply a threshold rule your team agrees on

Apply a threshold rule your team agrees on. One simple version: 24-30 is eligible for commit, 18-23 is best case, below 18 stays in upside or pipeline only.

Add a hard floor

Add a hard floor: no deal enters commit with a zero on any letter, and no deal enters commit without a direct Economic Buyer conversation on record.

Review scores weekly, not just at deal creation

Review scores weekly, not just at deal creation. A score can drop if a champion leaves or a decision process changes.

When a deal's score and its forecast category do

When a deal's score and its forecast category do not match, treat that as the action item - either close the gap or move the deal down.

See the difference

Weak

Rep puts a $120k deal in commit because 'the champion is really excited and they want to close this quarter.' No EB meeting has happened. Champion is a 2/5. Economic Buyer is a 1/5. Total score is 16/30. Deal slips.

Strong

Rep scores the same deal: Metrics 4, Economic Buyer 2, Decision Criteria 3, Decision Process 3, Pain 4, Champion 3 - total 19/30. Flags it as best case, not commit. Notes the EB gap and schedules a call with the champion to get an intro. Two weeks later, EB conversation happens, score moves to 24, deal enters commit.

You can map your MEDDIC score to a forecast category with a clear rule, defend that call in a deal review, and know exactly which gaps to close before moving a

How you'll know it's working

You have got it when you can explain why a deal is in commit by citing a specific score and the evidence behind each letter - and when you move deals down without being asked because the score does not support the category.

Questions people ask

How do you use MEDDIC scores to set your forecast category honestly?

Forecast categories are only useful if they mean something consistent. When reps self-report based on gut feel or buyer enthusiasm, the forecast becomes noise. You can map your MEDDIC score to a forecast category with a clear rule, defend that call in a deal review, and know exactly which gaps to close before moving a deal up.

What is the most common mistake to avoid?

Deals sit in commit with a zero on Champion or no Economic Buyer conversation. The quarter ends short.

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More reading

The methodology.

Four behaviours, role skills. Published in full.

Read the methodology